Home' Employment Forecast : October 2009 Contents The Age Employment Forecast
We have commented for many years that this sector continues to experience strong demand, especially for Health Professionals in
particular, irrespective of the state of the economy and this is borne out by recent events. In fact, now 1 in 10 jobs in the economy
are Health and Community Services jobs and the importance of this sector is increasing every year. By comparison, in 1995 only
1 in 12 jobs were in this feld. Jobs growth in this sector has been very strong, with employment up +6.2% (YTD August 09)
despite the weakening economy. Demand for all types of Health care workers remains strong (+5.6%), and the usual situation
of trying to get Health Professionals to fll jobs in the country and regional areas is still on-going. The extent of the diffculty in
obtaining staff is evidenced by the low take up rate of the Government’s cash incentive of $6,000 to encourage retired nurses
back to the Profession. This has only resulted in only 541 nurses taking up the offer, just 7% of the fve year target. The demand
for Community Services is also strong as the number of unemployed continues to grow. Jobs in social assistance are growing at
+9.8%, emphasising the demand for such services in more diffcult economic times.
The strong demand for Health Professionals is related to the ageing of the population, increases in lifestyle diseases and continued
demand from consumers for better and faster medical treatments. With demand remaining strong, flling positions, especially in
regional areas, will remain challenging. EMDA models are showing continued growth through to the frst half of next year.
Demand for workers in this sector in Victoria has also been strong, with jobs growing at 6.1%. Jobs for Health workers have
been very strong, with jobs up +6.8%. Diffculties in obtaining Health Professionals to work in rural areas remains unchanged.
The Community Services sub-sector is also showing strong growth in jobs as the demand for social services increases in Victoria,
with unemployment rising.
Popn. Aged 65+
Source: EMDA Model 2009
Change in Jobs
Change in Jobs Quarterly
This sector is just about recession proof and it has proved no different this time with jobs growing strongly and
skills shortages persisting
Health and Community Services
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